Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.262629 0.308406 0.357029 0.412243 0.472931 0.537341 0.610604
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.204251 0.266937 0.338044 0.423576 0.522583 0.632560 0.762929
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.155314 0.226300 0.312191 0.421163 0.553186 0.705579 0.892378
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.114175 0.187078 0.281418 0.407546 0.567032 0.757609 0.998140
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.091850 0.167693 0.271873 0.417443 0.607977 0.841895 1.143757
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.069140 0.142956 0.251279 0.409828 0.624729 0.895665 1.252825
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.058682 0.134444 0.251619 0.429266 0.676295 0.993696 1.418398
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.045982 0.119312 0.239904 0.430066 0.701940 1.058358 1.542747
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.036071 0.106558 0.229808 0.431595 0.727587 1.122747 1.667276
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.029760 0.099030 0.226880 0.442934 0.766604 1.205093 1.816014
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.025164 0.093811 0.226957 0.458357 0.811382 1.295635 1.976588
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021329 0.089198 0.227356 0.473879 0.856335 1.386929 2.139279
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.015639 0.078190 0.214964 0.468323 0.870622 1.437422 2.250178
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012184 0.071711 0.210160 0.474665 0.902575 1.512858 2.395676
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008524 0.062596 0.198639 0.468483 0.914796 1.560444 2.503917
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005220 0.052024 0.182043 0.451751 0.909408 1.582255 2.576702
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003920 0.048415 0.180169 0.461075 0.945075 1.663441 2.732199
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002333 0.041416 0.169010 0.452171 0.950801 1.700828 2.827003
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001909 0.040707 0.173191 0.472457 1.004445 1.809234 3.022365
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001173 0.036452 0.167465 0.473027 1.025380 1.869410 3.150404
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000679 0.032762 0.162462 0.474486 1.047551 1.931509 3.281640
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000445 0.031061 0.162726 0.486464 1.087604 2.020856 3.452439
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000307 0.030143 0.165117 0.502820 1.135335 2.122250 3.641241